Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at GGM Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.6%
avg ELO +10.6 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1446
· median 1446
· range 1446–1446
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
985
Q1 1170
Q3 1318
1446
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Fire Overlord | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
